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Reemergence of the Historical Downward Price Trend?


A feature of US crop prices since the early 20th Century has been a declining inflation-adjusted, real value. This article examines this historical trend in light of the price run that began in 2006. While a definitive conclusion cannot be reached, the evidence examined herein suggest the historical trend is reasserting itself. Implications for farm management and farm policy are drawn should the reasserting trend continue into the future.

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