Tour Finds Kansas Wheat Crop to Be 40% Less than 201605/08/2017
The 2017 Wheat Quality Council’s Hard Winter Wheat Tour across Kansas wrapped up on May 4, as scouts traveled from Wichita to Manhattan.
The three-day average over the fields that were calculated was 46.1 bushels an acre. While an estimated 7.4 million acres of wheat were planted in the fall, tour participants saw many areas where disease, damage from snow and freeze damage may eliminate those fields. This was accounted for in the final estimates.
The official tour projection for total production numbers of hard red winter wheat to be harvested in Kansas is 281,707,913 bushels. If realized, this would be 185 million bushels less than last year’s crop, a forty percent smaller crop. This number is calculated based on the average of estimated predictions from tour participants who gathered information from 469 fields across the state. The number of stops was down significantly from 655 fields during the 2016 tour. This was due primarily to snow cover in the western third of the state, where tour scouts weren’t able to take calculations.
Pam Smith with DTN tweeted after the tour numbers were announced “tour scouts took abandonment into consideration to come up with 282 million production or about 40 bushels per acre.” The projected yield of 46.1 bushels per acre that came out of the Crop Tour is for fields that may be harvested- and Smith adds “that production figure is what scouts thought. That puts abandonment guess at about 20%–for now.”
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