Storm rolling in over rural highwayMeteorologists now expect the current La Niña to weaken quickly and transition to ENSO-neutral conditions by early 2026, with roughly a 75% chance of that shift occurring between January and March. This change could influence planting and seasonal weather patterns, and forecasters are also watching for signals that an El Niño could develop later in the year, which would bring different impacts for key agricultural regions. Farmers are advised to monitor evolving climate trends and storm tracks as spring and summer approach.

Even with more encouraging weather signals in the U.S., markets remain closely tied to what unfolds in South America. The timing and late-season moisture of the safrinha corn crop can still influence global supplies and price direction during the U.S. planting window. That dynamic keeps spring markets sensitive to weather developments beyond U.S. borders.

Read more about improving spring conditions and the weather signs to watch for.