Cold Weather Ahead-How Much Risk To Arkansas Wheat Crop?03/14/2017
Despite the cool temperatures so far in March, the Arkansas wheat crop is still running ahead of schedule. Late last week I was at my plots at Marianna and saw a large difference in growth stages between early and late maturing varieties (see photos below). This would be expected with a warm late winter.
Growth stages ranged from Feekes 6 (first node visible) to a late Feekes 10 (boot). Statewide this growth stage range is also being seen with some fields in southern Arkansas near heading, while other fields are at approximately Feekes 7 (2 nodes visible). Most of the wheat in central and northern Arkansas appears to be at Feekes stage 6-7.
Risk of Freeze Damage To Arkansas Wheat?
With freezing temperatures in parts of Northeast Arkansas this weekend and more forecast for much of central and northern Arkansas for Wednesday and Thursday morning, the questions are being asked about how cold it needs to be for damage to occur.
Wheat freeze damage is highly dependent on growth stage, temperature, and duration of the low temperature. Even within a field, there can be temperature variations between the high and low areas of the field as well as growth stage differences across a field, so as you might expect, freeze damage can be variable across a field and difficult to say whether damage will occur or not.
Current temperature forecasts from the National Weather Service estimate low temperatures Wednesday morning will mostly be in the mid-20’s across Northeast Arkansas and mid-upper 20’s to near freezing as far south as Helena, Brinkley,
Hazen, and the Arkansas River Valley in western Arkansas. With these forecast temperatures and estimated growth stages, freeze damage could occur, especially on the more advanced fields.
This table (from the publication Spring Freeze Damage to Kansas Wheat), shows what low temperatures and duration of cold is needed to be injurious to wheat at different growth stages. For much of our wheat, temperatures between 24-28 degrees could be damaging. Heading to flowering is the most sensitive stage and most damaging for freeze damage to occur.
If freeze damage does occur, it will take several days of warm weather and good growing conditions to see the full extent of any damage. Freeze damaged leaves may be seen, but stem damage a few inches above the soil surface and damaged heads would be the greatest concern to evaluate for.
Source: Jason Kelley, University of Arkansas