Forming Expectations for 2016 U.S. Average Corn and Soybean Yields: What about El Niño Transitions?

In the farmdoc daily articles of March 2, 2016 and March 9, 2016, we examined the historical pattern of U.S. average corn and soybean yields in years since 1960 following a strong El Niño episode that peaked in the period September-March prior to the growing season. There have been a total of twelve such episodes. The purpose of that analysis was to determine if yield expectations for 2016 should be altered based on the current strong El Niño episode that peaked in December 2015.

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