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Dry Weather Threatens Record Brazil Soy Crop


A new administration takes over in Brazil on January 1st, but most producers aren’t thinking about politics. Instead, they’re watching their yield potential drop with each day of continued dry weather.

And while nobody’s talking about a bust in 2018-19 production, there’s little doubt this season’s production won’t meet the government’s forecast for a 121.4 million tonne crop.

Western Parana

So I contacted a producer out in western Parana. He farms near Toledo, just a few miles from the border with Paraguay.

“In December,” he said, “the weather changed fast, and, aside from dryness we also had high temperatures that really hurt the beans. Here in Toledo, rains were very spotty and so in some places we’ll have a 40% yield reduction, while in other places it will be 20%.”

Enough rain coming?

As the Toledo producer said, “It’s started to rain. We’ll wait and see if there will be any recovery in the soybeans.”

The opinions of the author are not necessarily those of Farm Futures or Farm Progress.

Source: James Thompson, Farm Futures

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